Thursday, May 06, 2010

Famines in India (contd)

Ok ... resuming on the discussion of data from the previous post. The data I have is scanty. I have attached the list I have here. But I think it suggests pre british era, there were a lot of famines. In fact, I think by the end of the British famine, at least a better control of the famine was in place. However, whether it could been implement much before and the efficacy of it, I am not sure.
The major feature of the famine was the duration of it. I think the efficiency of moving grains present has mitigated this. Relief earlier was hampered by the countless divisions of small kingdoms and lack of proper cooperation between them. Also, science has improved tremendously to really understand and control the famines.

I really wanted to input this analysis that I read in "Indian Famines" by A. Loveday (1914). According to Loveday, there was a correlation between the when the years between two famines and the monsoon. It is remarkable in the sense from the barest analysis of the historical famines, he actually came close to El nino Effect. Today, we have all sorts of models of how this works, but I find it remarkable that 100 years before, there was someone who actually looked at periodicity of the data and made a meaningful guess...

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"you have been bred a merchant and I, a scholar; you consequently love money better than I. You can find pleasure in superfluity; i am perfectly content with what is sufficient. Take therefore what is yours; it may give you some pleasure, even though you have no occasion to use it; my happiness it cannot improve, for I have already all that I want" - Lien Chi Altangi